Short preview this week as we try to ge this out before the start of the Match Play. Jason and Steven bring you two bets this week, one in the Match Play and one in the Corales Puntacana event on the PGA Tour.
The Corales Puntacana is a fairly weak field, due to being played opposite the WGC, but there are a couple of standout players heading the betting. Emiliano Grillo, Patrick Rodgers, Scott Piercy and Ryder Cup captain, Jim Furyk will all be playing in the Dominican Republic this week. Chris Wood, Fabrizio Zanotti and Paul Dunne also make the trip to represent the European Tour.
Without further ado. Two picks.
Steven Gray – WGC Match Play Group Winner Double – Paul Casey and Rory McIlroy to win their group (3.35/1 SkyBet)
After his heroics on Sunday, Rory McIlroy will come into this week full of confidence and a worthy favourite to win the event as well as win a group that features Brian Harman, Jhonattan Vegas and Peter Uihlein.
Paul Casey is also playing very well, winning on his last start at the Valspar Championship and whilst he faces a slightly tougher group, remains strong favourite to progress to the next round.
Casey has to overcome fellow Englishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick who is struggling for form as well as the American duo of Kyle Stanley and Russell Henley.
No big chances taking two favourites to win their groups, but both should be more than comfortable with their opponents and also both relish this format.
Rory has a 22-9-2 record in this event, winning it when the format changed in 2015 and has a 63% win rate in singles play across all events.
Casey is not quite at Rory’s level with a record of 23-13-1 here and a 55% win rate in singles play overall, but he certainly holds his own in this event and in general. He has twice made the final of this event in 2009 and 2010, losing out both times, and has advanced from his group in two of the last three years.
Jason Daniels – Rafael Campos 80/1 to win and 7/1 for a top-10 at the Corales Puntacana Championship
Approaching his 30th birthday, Rafael Campos will be nearing his supposed peak.
2nd and 3rd this year on the web in favourable conditions in Panama and Bahamas, he has already shown what he can do when the course and conditions suit, as they should do here.
Last season Campos had a run of 19, 8, 13, 11, 3 finishes on the Web.com with that 3rd place finish coming at this event. Now a PGA Tour event, there is a handful of players that could prove harder to overcome but is generally still a pretty similar strength of field.
Previously showed he can compete at higher level with a 7th place finish in Houston and 32nd Harbour Town as well as another top-10 in Puerto Rico, Campos should be good enough to win in this company and at the very least threaten the top-10, and he looks good value to do that.
Clearly happy with the location and conditions, with the chances of wind also not an issue, he certainly looks a good bet, with the absence of a lot of top players.