Welcome back, I hope you are here reading these tips again as you enjoyed last weeks, and hopefully some of you got on the win from Charles Howell 28/1 e/w. This week we are in California where a couple of players have strong records and in the post I will back up the reasons as always as to why I’ve picked these players.
The market leader for this tournament is Brandt Snedeker @14/1 (General) I will be giving Snedeker a miss this week for a couple of reasons, one being that he is a relatively short price and he also has The Farmers Insurance Open to defend next week. I am not counting him out by any means but he’s just not for me this week.
This week I look to four players, it is a relatively wide open field but looking back through past form and strong 2012 seasons these players have a great chance of being involved all weekend and will hopefully bring in some profit! This tournament is not played in the typical way, formerly known as the Bob Hope Classic it was originally played as 5 round tournament until 2012 where it reverted to the standard 4 round format but it is still played at 3 different courses. All courses are par-72 and are between 6,924yds and 7,060yds so not particularly long. On to the picks that I hope can make us all winners this week at the Humana Challenge.
1) Bill Haas 28/1 (General) 1pt e/w: Since featuring here in 2005 Haas has not missed a cut, with 8 appearances in that time, that shows consistency on his part. Not only has he been a regular feature he has also won the tournament once in 2010 and came 2nd the following year in 2011. Much like Howell III last week, Haas is obviously comfortable at this particular event and has shot some impressive scores, although before it was five rounds where he shot -30 to win he is still well capable of shooting low with it now being a four round event. Although Haas’ lowest finish in this event was last season I believe he will bounce back and will want to start his season well at familiar territory.
2) Robert Garrigus 25/1 (General) 1pt e/w: 2012 was a great year for Garrigus, it was also a very frustrating one for the man who posted 4 official 2nd place finishes and a further runners-up position at the CIMB Classic. Robert improved his game dramatically in two key areas last season, firstly going from 72nd on tour to 7th in greens in regulation and from 105th to 23rd in scoring average, proving just what great form he was in. Not only does this convince me that he can definitely be in contention this week, but he also came T2 here 12 months ago posting -22, 2 behind the winner Mark Wilson. In my opinion Garrigus will have a big 2013 season and will be hungry for his 2nd ever win on tour and this looks a great place to do it.
3) Harris English 35/1 (Bet365) 1pt e/w: English is a player that excites me. Raw young talent that has a big future ahead of him. Although sometimes it looks as if he is inconsistent, he made 22 cuts out of 27 last season including three top 10’s most notably at the Crowne Plaza and RBC Heritage events, where he finished 5th and 8th respectively. His stand-out stat from last season was his 17th rank in total birdies, this proves he can shoot low and if that’s what he can do in his first season I cannot wait for this year. He has already come in the top 10 this season coming T9 in his first event last week. English shot a 62 and a 66 in the last two rounds to finish strongly and I hope he can shoot low again come the weekend. Harris has got previous form at this tournament coming T19 last season.
4) Brendon De Jonge 55/1 (BetVictor) 1pt e/w: De Jonge is a player who shoots low, so low in fact that he was ranked 1st last season on tour for Total Birdies and 2nd for Total Eagles. This means that a tournament where you have to historically shoot a very low score to win will suit the man from Zimbawbe. Last season he came T12 and T25 the year before that. So with some form to add to De Jonge will look to make a statement, a statement to prove that he will continue to shoot birdies and eagles at a high rate. These stats didn’t lead to a win last season but he did have 4 top 10 finishes and a 2nd place so hopefully he can build on that at an event he has played before and take that next step.
I have one tip on the European Tour this week in Abu Dhabi and that is:
Martin Kaymer 10/1 (General) 2pts win: Kaymer finished 2012 off in a big way, not only did he hole the winning putt in the Ryder Cup but he also rekindled old form and as he is returning to a place where he has won 3 times and also finished 2nd between 2008-2011 he must be brimming with confidence.
Total points staked: 10
2013 profit/loss – 0
Good luck this week and as always I hope you have enjoyed reading my tips and will continue throughout the season. Any questions or feedback you may have contact me via Twitter @TomJacobs8